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Hannah Montana captures box office crown

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Urgh! Two weeks in a row we’ve underestimated the eventual box office winner. Last week it was Fast & Furious, this week is was Hannah Montana: The Movie. The Miley Cyrus vehicle nabbed $34 million – around $5 million more than we had predicted it would top out at. Furious score just over $28 million, while Monsters vs. Aliens came in at $22.6 million – about what we’d predicted. Seth Rogan’s new film, Observe and Report, did worse than expected – garnering only $11 million. Dragonball Evolution was even crappier than thought – not even making the $5 million mark. Sad note: the well-reviewed Adventureland will die an early death and fall out of the top 10 next week. Sad fate for a good film. Also, Julia Roberts latest, Duplicity will also be gone, marking a big disappointment for the former box office queen.

Hannah Montana: The Movie (2009) $34M $34M
Fast & Furious (2009) $28.8M $118M
Monsters vs Aliens (2009) $22.6M $141M
Observe and Report (2009) $11.1M $11.1M
Knowing (2009) $6.67M $68M
I Love You, Man (2009) $6.41M $59M
The Haunting in Connecticut (2009) $5.71M $46.3M
Dragonball Evolution (2009) $4.65M $4.65M
Adventureland (2009) $3.43M $11.4M
Duplicity (2009) $3M $36.8M


New in theaters this weekend: Hannah Montana, Dragonball, Observe and Report

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Can Hannah top Fast and Furious? Hannah Montana: the Movie should open well, but it might not unseat Vin Diesel and the gang. And what about Seth Rogen’s new film, Observe and Report? The trailer isn’t funny, so will people turn out? We underestimated Fast & Furious last week, but not this time. We think it will nudge out Hannah by a few million – but not by a lot. Both should taking $25-30 million, while Monsters vs Aliens will trail behind it – probably around $20 million. Observe and Report is perplexing us, as reviews are mixed. We just don’t know if the audience will be in on this one. It will open okay – around $15 million. Dragonball Evolution will top out at $10 million – if it’s lucky.

Next week, tough guy Jason Statham returns in Crank 2, Russell Crowe and Ben Affeck find intrigue in State of Play, and Zac Efron is 17 again.

New this week:

Hannah Montana: The Movie
Tween girls will flock to it. Reviews are pretty much what you’d expect. Girls will love it. Moms will be mildly entertained. Boys and dads will role their eyes. Enter at your own risk.

Observe and Report
A strange looking movie. The trailer is not really funny, which reflects the film tone. And reviews have been all over the board. Some absolutely adore it. Others find it simply boring. A must see at some point, whether on video or in the theater just to judge for yourself. This film, like director Jody Hill’s first movie (Fist Foot Way), features an unlikeable protagonist and looks to be one of those cult films people love or just don’t get (just like Fist Foot Way).

Dragonball Evolution
This looks appropriately silly and uninspiring, and reviews and reactions are along those lines. Young boys will find it interesting, but most adults will see it as a step above Power Rangers.


Seth Rogen’s ‘Observe and Report’ Reviewed

Think “Travis Bickle: Mall Cop” and you’ll have some idea of what to expect from “Observe and Report,” writer-director Jody Hill’s shockingly and sometimes discomfortingly funny comedy about an unstable security guard who views himself as vigilant protector – and, occasionally, avenging angel – while patrolling a suburban shopping mall. Taking a setup that could have been played for sitcom jokiness and family-friendly slapstick, Hill attempts something much darker, if not downright transgressive, with a pic bound to divide auds and critics into love-it-or-leave-it camps when it opens April 10. It’s a gamble that might pay off handsomely for Warners. Or not. – from Variety